According to market analysts, global coffee prices are rebounding thanks to improved market sentiment and expectations of a potential supply tightening in the months ahead.
Robusta Prices Continue to Surge in London
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On the London ICE Futures Exchange, Robusta coffee prices continued their upward trend, increasing between USD 58 – 78 per ton, ranging from USD 5,150 – 5,411 per ton.
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May 2025 contracts: USD 5,387/ton
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July 2025 contracts: USD 5,427/ton
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September 2025 contracts: USD 5,369/ton
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November 2025 contracts: USD 5,300/ton
The sustained rise reflects concerns about reduced supply from major producing countries and persistent logistical challenges.
Arabica Prices Hit Three-Week High in New York
Meanwhile, Arabica coffee prices on the New York ICE exchange saw strong gains compared to the previous session, rising between 2.9% and 3.38%. The July 2025 contract surged to USD 8,790 per ton, up USD 290 per ton.
Arabica futures for Brazilian coffee fluctuated between USD 467.00 – 525.25 per ton across delivery periods:
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May 2025: USD 517.00/ton
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July 2025: USD 478.00/ton
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September 2025: USD 476.00/ton
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December 2025: USD 467.00/ton
Despite a modest increase in ICE-monitored Arabica inventories—now above 800,000 bags, the highest in five weeks—stocks remain low compared to previous years.
Brazilian Real Strengthens, Reducing Export Incentives
A key factor behind the price rebound is the stronger Brazilian real, which reached a 2.5-week high against the U.S. dollar on April 23.
The currency’s appreciation discouraged Brazilian producers from accelerating exports, thereby supporting global Arabica prices.
Vietnam’s Domestic Coffee Prices Rise Sharply
In Vietnam, coffee prices in the Central Highlands surged by around VND 1,100/kg compared to the previous trading session.
Current average purchasing prices stand at VND 130,400/kg, with regional variations:
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Đắk Lắk: VND 130,500/kg
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Lâm Đồng: VND 130,000/kg
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Gia Lai: VND 130,400/kg
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Đắk Nông: VND 130,500/kg
Vietnam Coffee Exports Decline in Volume but Rise in Value
According to Vietnam Customs, in the first 15 days of April 2025, Vietnam exported 83,572 tons of coffee worth USD 482.98 million, down 11% in volume and 11.4% in value compared to the first half of March.
However, compared to the same period last year, exports were down 3% in volume but up 49.6% in value, thanks to higher world prices.
From January 1 to April 15, 2025, total exports reached 580,999 tons worth USD 3.3 billion—a 13.5% drop in volume(equivalent to 90,383 tons) but a 46.8% increase in export value year-on-year.
Market Outlook
Experts forecast that tight global supply, driven by weather uncertainties in Brazil and Vietnam, and reduced inventories, will continue to support high coffee prices in the short term.
The market also remains sensitive to currency fluctuations and policy changes in major producing countries.