According to the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (VICOFA), Vietnam’s coffee exports in February 2025reached 193,031 tons, earning USD 1.08 billion — marking the first time in history that the country’s monthly coffee export value has exceeded USD 1 billion.
Data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment shows that during the first two months of 2025, Vietnam exported 284,000 tons of coffee, generating nearly USD 1.6 billion. Despite export volumes dropping by 28%, the export value increased by 26.2%, driven by record-high prices.
Historic Export Performance
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VICOFA statistics confirm that in February alone, Vietnam exported 193,031 tons of coffee worth USD 1.08 billion — a record-breaking milestone.
Cumulatively, in the first two months of 2025, the country exported 343,331 tons of coffee, earning over USD 1.87 billion, of which green coffee beans accounted for 315,615 tons, worth USD 1.65 billion.
Mr. Nguyen Nam Hai, Chairman of VICOFA, attributed this success to high global coffee prices and proactive export strategies, noting that foreign-invested enterprises (FIEs) accounted for 27% of output, 28% of green coffee export value, and 86% of processed coffee exports.
Record Export Prices Drive Growth
Export prices have been the key driver behind the impressive growth.
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The average export price in the first two months of 2025 reached USD 5,574.5 per ton, up 76.3% year-on-year.
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In February, prices hit an all-time high of USD 5,596 per ton.
Germany, Italy, and Japan remain Vietnam’s top three export markets, accounting for 16.6%, 9.4%, and 8.2% of market share, respectively.
Compared with the same period in 2024, export value to Germany rose 53%, Italy up 5.6%, and Japan up 10.4%.
According to Mr. Hai, coffee is emerging as one of the hottest commodities on global exchanges — alongside gold — attracting strong investor interest.
Robusta Advantage and Market Outlook
The price gap between Robusta and Arabica coffee currently stands at around USD 3,000 per ton. As Arabica prices climb, roasters are increasingly shifting toward Robusta, giving Vietnam — the world’s largest Robusta producer — a competitive advantage and further driving export prices upward.
The Import-Export Department forecasts that the La Niña weather phenomenon may replace El Niño in 2025, potentially affecting Brazil’s coffee-growing regions.
Frost risks could cause Brazil’s 2025–2026 crop to fall to its lowest level in three years.
However, Mr. Hai noted that while Brazil’s output might decline from July 2025, the global market impact would likely remain limited — though close monitoring is needed.
Industry Targets and Development Strategy
To achieve the goal of USD 6 billion in coffee exports in 2025, Vietnam’s coffee sector needs to:
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Plan and stabilize cultivation areas,
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Maintain consistent production, and
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Enhance quality to meet international standards.
Mr. Hai urged enterprises to strengthen linkages between purchasing and deep processing, and diversify export markets to reduce reliance on a few major partners.
Deputy Minister of Agriculture and Environment Phung Duc Tien stated that, at the current growth rate, Vietnam’s coffee exports are on track to exceed USD 6 billion in 2025.
He emphasized the need for technological investment, market expansion, and strategic adaptation to global market fluctuations. The Ministry is working with VICOFA and industry stakeholders to build a long-term development planthat enhances the value and global reputation of Vietnamese coffee.